The knockout phase of Euro 2020 kicks off Saturday with a matchup between Wales and Denmark in Amsterdam. The Danes have been propelled by raw emotion and used it to finish second in Group B despite losing their first two games. Denmark’s Euro 2020 opener was marred by the devastating collapse of star Christian Eriksen, and it lost 1-0 to Finland after the game resumed. It followed that with a respectable 2-1 loss to world No. 1 Belgium, then ripped Russia 4-1 on Monday to advance. Wales comes in off a 1-0 loss to Italy after beating Turkey 2-0 and tying Switzerland 1-1.
Kickoff is set for noon ET. Denmark is the -118 favorite (risk $118 to win $100) in the latest Wales vs. Denmark odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you lock in any Denmark vs. Wales picks, check out the Euro 2020 predictions and best bets from SportsLine’s Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He’s having a great Euro 2020 as well, with his picks generating more than $800 in profit for $100 bettors through the group stage. Green has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Denmark vs. Wales at Euro 2020 and locked in his best bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Wales vs. Denmark:
- Wales vs. Denmark spread: Denmark -0.5 (-130)
- Wales vs. Denmark over-under: 2.5 goals
- Wales vs. Denmark money line: Wales +380, Denmark -118, Draw +230
- WAL: Gareth Bale has scored 112 goals in 224 starts over his past 10 club seasons
- DEN: Kasper Schmeichel posted 17 clean sheets for Leicester City last season
Why you should back Denmark
Eriksen’s absence after his cardiac arrest is a clear blow, but the Danes have turned the emotion in their favor and have plenty of talented players. And the team’s strength is its defense, with reliable Kasper Schmeichel guarding the net behind excellent backs Andreas Christensen and Simon Kjaer. Aside from the opener against Finland, when it was clearly out of sorts from the Eriksen incident, Denmark has not lost to a team other than Belgium (three times) since the start of 2020. It is 10-2-4 with a 33-11 goal advantage and eight clean sheets in that span.
The 2-0 victory against Turkey is the only time Wales has scored multiple goals in its nine games in 2021 (3-2-4). The Danes have scored at least twice in five of their eight over the same span. With Eriksen out, Barcelona’s Martin Braithwaite and RB Leipzig’s Yussuf Poulsen will be the leaders of the attack. Poulsen has scored in the past two games, and 20-year-old Mikkel Damsgaard also had a goal against Russia, his fourth in six games with the national team.
Why you should back Wales
The Welsh don’t have a ton of experience in major tournaments, but they can make noise when they get the chance. They made the semifinals at Euro 2016, bowing out to eventual champion Portugal. The presence of Gareth Bale gives them confidence and a chance to beat anyone. The striker is 31 now, but he still shows the flashes of brilliance that made him one of the world’s most dangerous players. He didn’t score in the win against Turkey, but he assisted on both goals. Aaron Ramsey did score in that match and has been a critical piece to the attack.
Ramsey, who has three goals in his last seven matches for Wales, and Kieffer Moore, with four in his last 10, are strong complements to Bale. Defenders Ben Davies and Joe Rodon have a strong working relationship from playing together at Tottenham and provide strong cover for veteran Crystal Palace goalkeeper Wayne Hennessey. Wales’ four losses since the start of 2020 are to top-seven teams Italy, France, Belgium and England. It allowed 10 goals in those games but is otherwise 8-4-0 in that span, scoring just 12 goals but posting 10 clean sheets.
How to make Denmark vs. Wales Euro 2020 picks
Green has analyzed Wales vs. Denmark from every possible angle. He’s leaning over on the goal total (2.5), and he has locked in two best bets, including one that returns plus-money. He’s only sharing those picks on SportsLine.
So who wins Wales vs. Denmark in Saturday’s Euro 2020 matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Denmark vs. Wales, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.